Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:22:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6894…1528
sports · 62 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$546 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$552 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized−$552
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses23 / 38
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)61 / 62
History coverage26d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days−$160
14 days−$209
30 days−$552
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 59¢ 62¢ $108 $114 +$6 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 35¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group D 2007 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 47¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Young Ninjas 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Walczaki 45¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) NIP 43¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) TheMongolz 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner CYBERSHOKE Esports 71¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 52¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 63¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 51¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage MIBR Academy 57¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner FOKUS 55¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) MOUZ 59¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage AM Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner 100 Thieves 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner Lavked 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner Inner Circle Esports 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $45 −$34 -76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $167 −$22 -14%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$77 +86%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $8 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $100 −$98 -98%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $35 +$33 +95%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $41 +$33 +80%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $49 −$31 -63%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $25 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $24 −$24 -99%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $91 −$91 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $44 +$47 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $44 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $85 −$83 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $68 +$61 +90%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $18 −$7 -40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 05 $17 −$16 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 +$7 +67%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $16 −$16 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $11 +$5 +40%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $19 −$18 -97%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe S Jun 05 $11 +$8 +79%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner Jun 01 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner May 27 $103 −$32 -31%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series May 26 $93 +$20 +22%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Champ May 26 $2 −$1 -72%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger L May 26 $60 −$8 -13%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro Leag May 26 $30 +$30 +101%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 23 $48 −$48 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague May 22 $30 +$19 +62%
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner May 22 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifie May 22 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual May 22 $50 −$41 -82%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner May 21 $100 −$99 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winner May 21 $9 −$8 -95%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner May 21 $42 −$33 -80%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro May 21 $48 −$6 -13%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $100 +$47 +48%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) May 21 $90 +$59 +65%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) May 21 $57 −$56 -98%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) May 20 $70 −$69 -99%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo May 20 $38 −$37 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner May 20 $35 +$23 +64%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs May 20 $20 +$15 +76%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner May 20 $18 −$17 -99%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner May 20 $10 +$8 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$546
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 27¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 11¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $99 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $45 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $144 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 84¢ $167 17h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $167 23h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 53¢ $90 26h
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner BUY Young Ninjas 31¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 50¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 52¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 47¢ $26 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 52¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 52¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 47¢ $73 3d
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) SELL Legacy 100¢ $67 3d
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) BUY Legacy 51¢ $10 3d
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) BUY Legacy 50¢ $25 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $75 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $18 3d
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu SELL AM Gaming 22¢ $18 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $23 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 54¢ $23 3d
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu BUY AM Gaming 57¢ $24 4d
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu BUY AM Gaming 60¢ $25 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 52¢ $24 4d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 55¢ $25 4d
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $91 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner SELL paiN 100¢ $91 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -19.5% -27.1% 33% 28% -24.8%
≤30d 61 -24.7% -31.9% 38% 36% -30.2%
≤90d 61 -24.7% -31.9% 38% 36% -30.2%
all 61 -24.7% -31.9% 38% 36% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.9% 36% -30.2%
10% -38.4% 34% -36.9%
15% -44.3% 34% -43.0%
20% -49.8% 30% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.47 · official $114.47 (match) · 124 history records