Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6882…6f08
other · 1337 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,839 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,839 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,839
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses844 / 493
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$259
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1337 / 1337
History coverage272d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit35%
Chart Positions 0 History 1337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$134
7 days−$117
14 days−$534
30 days−$920
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) Fenerbahçe SK 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-11? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) Stade Rennais FC 1901 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5 Under 66¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-22? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Will AZ win on 2026-02-08? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 1.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score Yes 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$29 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$7 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$18 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$4 -13%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $101 +$33 +32%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $101 +$40 +40%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $148 +$60 +40%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $116 +$32 +28%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $87 +$29 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +132%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $113 +$23 +20%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $101 −$63 -62%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $101 +$21 +21%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $101 +$38 +37%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $100 +$17 +17%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $155 −$154 -99%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $120 +$35 +29%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $35 −$35 -99%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $16 +$20 +121%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $69 −$53 -77%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $46 −$45 -98%
Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $100 −$54 -54%
RS Berkane vs. IR Tanger: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $99 −$30 -31%
FathUnionSport vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $87 −$86 -99%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $47 +$41 +88%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $101 +$20 +20%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $151 +$28 +18%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $124 +$23 +18%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $101 +$23 +23%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $101 +$29 +28%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $210 +$13 +6%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $101 −$7 -7%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $188 +$29 +16%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $101 −$23 -23%
Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $101 +$36 +36%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $145 +$29 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% −$2,649
sports 34% −$1,116
world 1% −$107
crypto 1% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $101 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -0.4% -9.9% 64% 61% -11.6%
≤30d 275 -2.3% -11.6% 65% 60% -12.8%
≤90d 575 -3.4% -12.6% 63% 59% -13.0%
all 1337 -2.9% -12.1% 63% 60% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 60% -12.5%
10% -20.5% 45% -20.9%
15% -28.2% 28% -28.5%
20% -35.3% 16% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2412 history records