Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:33:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x686a…fc06
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses21 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage55d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -49%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 16 $1 $0 -6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 02 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +7%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Apr 30 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 29 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 29 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Apr 29 $1 $0 +12%
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? Apr 28 $1 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 24 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Apr 24 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Apr 21 $5 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 21 $3 +$2 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 21 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Apr 21 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 21 $5 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Apr 21 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Apr 21 $5 −$2 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$5
sports 11% $0
other 10% $0
tech 9% $0
world 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 99¢ $1 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 99¢ $1 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $1 14h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 14h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 70¢ $1 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 81¢ $1 19h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $1 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1 20h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $1 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 71¢ $1 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $1 25h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $1 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 76¢ $1 46h
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 50¢ $1 2d
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 96¢ $1 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 19¢ $0 2d
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 27d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 28¢ $0 27d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $0 29d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 29d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -5.9% -14.9% 64% 0% -13.2%
≤30d 16 -11.8% -20.2% 56% 0% -17.4%
≤90d 38 -10.4% -18.9% 55% 13% -17.7%
all 38 -10.4% -18.9% 55% 13% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 13% -17.7%
10% -26.7% 5% -25.5%
15% -33.8% 3% -32.7%
20% -40.3% 3% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 89 history records