Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x685f…c586
crypto · 58 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$577 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$578 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$578
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses30 / 26
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 58
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day56.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$578
7 days−$578
14 days−$578
30 days−$578
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Martyna Kubka 51¢ 51¢ $200 $200 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $205 +$110 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$22 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$64 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$34 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +91%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $147 −$125 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$63 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $92 −$83 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$98 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $68 −$44 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$55 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $201 +$76 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $158 +$41 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$49 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$31 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$44 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$18 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$19 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$32 +63%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $26 +$4 +15%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $30 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$114 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$66 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$17 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$300
sports 25% −$277
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson BUY Martyna Kubka 51¢ $203 3m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 70¢ $202 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $109 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $37 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $31 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $315 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $205 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $136 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $22 4h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $22 4h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $103 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $67 5h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $26 5h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $18 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 52% -23.9%
≤30d 56 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 52% -23.9%
≤90d 56 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 52% -23.9%
all 56 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 52% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 52% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 48% -31.1%
15% -33.6% 45% -37.8%
20% -40.2% 34% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200.05 · official $400.05 · 121 history records