Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6844…d538
sports · 418 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$168 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$97 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$97
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses208 / 209
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)417 / 418
History coverage19d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day51.6
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$33
14 days+$7
30 days+$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 41¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+144%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Llaverias vs. Gay: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Under 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 28? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Marvin Moeller 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Phoenix Mercury 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $3 +$1 +21%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7 −$2 -25%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 $0 -5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 −$2 -23%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 -41%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$2 -57%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $6 −$1 -20%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $5 +$4 +80%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $2 −$1 -52%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $9 +$2 +27%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $6 +$1 +26%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +39%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$3 +83%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$3 -75%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$1 -33%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$1 -38%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +111%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$84
other 6% +$36
world 5% −$10
weather 2% −$9
crypto 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 45¢ $2 48m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $1 55m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 69¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 72¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 72¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 31¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 45¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 74¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $3 2h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Türkiye 13¢ $1 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 19¢ $1 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 5¢ $0 3h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 64¢ $3 4h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 37¢ $2 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 24¢ $1 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $4 4h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 4h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) SELL Türkiye 5¢ $1 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -7.5% -16.3% 48% 41% -11.4%
≤30d 417 -0.7% -10.2% 50% 44% -5.7%
≤90d 417 -0.7% -10.2% 50% 44% -5.7%
all 417 -0.7% -10.2% 50% 44% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 44% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 38% -14.7%
15% -26.6% 33% -22.9%
20% -33.8% 24% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $5.00 (match) · 1044 history records