Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x683d…079c
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$2 +49%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 +$3 +289%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? SELL Yes 3¢ $4 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+37.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +51.6% +37.2% 50% 50% +39.2%
≤30d 4 +51.6% +37.2% 50% 50% +39.2%
≤90d 4 +51.6% +37.2% 50% 50% +39.2%
all 4 +51.6% +37.2% 50% 50% +39.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +37.2% 50% +39.2%
10% +24.1% 50% +25.9%
15% +12.1% 50% +13.7%
20% +1.1% 50% +2.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records