trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +31% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $9 | −$5 | -50% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 40% | 20% | -29.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 40% | 20% | -29.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 40% | 20% | -29.5% |
| all | 5 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 40% | 20% | -29.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.4% | 20% | -29.5% |
| 10% | -38.0% | 20% | -36.2% |
| 15% | -44.0% | 0% | -42.4% |
| 20% | -49.5% | 0% | -48.0% |