trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +31.1% | +18.6% | 75% | 25% | +18.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +31.1% | +18.6% | 75% | 25% | +18.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 65% | 52% | -8.6% |
| all | 23 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 65% | 52% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 52% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 30% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 30% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 17% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 44¢ | 90¢ | $15 | $31 | +$16 (+103%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 92¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$4 | +127% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 21 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 21 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 21 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Avalanche | Apr 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31? | Apr 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Apr 07 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 03 | $4 | +$2 | +60% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 01 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks | Apr 01 | $4 | +$3 | +72% |
| Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 01 | $4 | +$3 | +82% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $3 | +$1 | +40% |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Mar 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Mar 29 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions e | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +19% |