Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:09:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
68 0x680b…1f1b crypto 1380 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (103 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$207 (-2%) realized −$207 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate87%1201W / 179L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day103.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days−$148
30 days−$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$243
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (103 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -0.0% -9.6% 90% 5% -9.1%
≤30d 1380 -1.3% -10.7% 87% 7% -11.4%
≤90d 1380 -1.3% -10.7% 87% 7% -11.4%
all 1380 -1.3% -10.7% 87% 7% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover103.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 7% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 1% -19.9%
15% -27.0% 1% -27.6%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$207
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1201 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1380 / 1380
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day103.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1380 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records