Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

68
0x6807…c9f9
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses21 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day335.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $123 +$19 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $92 +$30 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$12 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $192 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$55 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$29 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $135 +$40 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $155 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$55 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$10 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$44 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$42 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$25 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$30 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $18 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $13 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $54 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $59 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $41 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -3.6% -12.8% 62% 38% -11.0%
≤30d 34 -3.6% -12.8% 62% 38% -11.0%
≤90d 34 -3.6% -12.8% 62% 38% -11.0%
all 34 -3.6% -12.8% 62% 38% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover335.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 38% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 24% -19.5%
15% -28.7% 15% -27.3%
20% -35.7% 12% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 348 history records