Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67fd…4166
politics · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$59 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses19 / 94
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)113 / 114
History coverage96d
Avg bet$158
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 1 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$19
14 days−$37
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 98¢ 98¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $62 −$1 -1%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $48 $0 -1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $96 $0 -0%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $68 −$2 -3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $114 $0 -0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 13 $288 −$3 -1%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $54 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $104 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $321 +$1 +0%
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 11 $29 −$1 -4%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 11 $82 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 11 $161 −$2 -1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 11 $39 −$4 -10%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $419 −$3 -1%
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F Jun 10 $60 −$1 -2%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 10 $20 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $111 $0 -0%
Will FUT Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $58 −$3 -5%
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 Jun 06 $44 −$2 -5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $55 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $54 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $279 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $48 −$1 -3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 04 $42 +$1 +1%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 04 $144 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $106 −$3 -3%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 03 $41 $0 -0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $50 −$1 -2%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $57 −$1 -2%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 02 $47 $0 -1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $51 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $163 −$1 -1%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $450 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $46 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $289 −$1 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $90 $0 +0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $144 −$1 -1%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $42 −$3 -6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 28 $106 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 28 $42 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 27 $395 −$3 -1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 23 $998 −$3 -0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 22 $82 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? May 21 $47 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? May 21 $47 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 21 $52 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 20 $123 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 33% −$20
other 25% −$27
sports 21% −$9
finance 7% −$2
crypto 7% −$12
culture 3% −$1
economics 2% −$1
world 1% $0
tech 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $49 1h
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 95¢ $62 2h
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 96¢ $62 9h
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 90¢ $47 9h
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 90¢ $48 14h
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $50 15h
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $50 22h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 93¢ $65 22h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 96¢ $68 28h
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 95¢ $63 29h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 91¢ $63 29h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 92¢ $27 37h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 92¢ $36 37h
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 95¢ $64 37h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $54 38h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $54 45h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 95¢ $55 45h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 95¢ $55 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL No 97¢ $62 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $62 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $53 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $53 2d
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 94¢ $28 2d
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 97¢ $29 2d
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 97¢ $59 3d
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 98¢ $24 3d
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 98¢ $35 3d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? SELL No 94¢ $61 3d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 95¢ $62 3d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 85¢ $35 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -1.4% -10.8% 5% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 54 -1.1% -10.5% 11% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 99 -0.8% -10.2% 15% 0% -9.9%
all 113 -0.7% -10.2% 17% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.8% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.05 · official $49.05 (match) · 458 history records