Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67f6…60b3
crypto · 1530 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$120 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$95
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses782 / 746
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1528 / 1530
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day205.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 1528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$187
7 days−$79
14 days−$95
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 68¢ 2¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-98%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$28 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$19 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$27 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$9 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$34
other 6% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1152 +1.2% -8.5% 53% 53% -10.6%
≤30d 1528 +2.0% -7.7% 51% 51% -10.6%
≤90d 1528 +2.0% -7.7% 51% 51% -10.6%
all 1528 +2.0% -7.7% 51% 51% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover205.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 51% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 49% -19.2%
15% -24.6% 40% -27.0%
20% -32.0% 29% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.15 · official $17.47 · 3500 history records