Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:43:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x67f1…1431 crypto 196 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (145 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$152 (+4%) realized +$152 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate83%162W / 34L
Drawdown57%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day145.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (145 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 +2.6% -7.2% 83% 67% -7.0%
≤30d 196 +2.6% -7.2% 83% 67% -7.0%
≤90d 196 +2.6% -7.2% 83% 67% -7.0%
all 196 +2.6% -7.2% 83% 67% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover145.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 67% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 33% -15.9%
15% -24.2% 1% -24.0%
20% -31.6% 0% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$15 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$152
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses162 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)196 / 196
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day145.4
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 196 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $34 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $32 −$24 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $32 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $13 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $14 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $13 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $14 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $14 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $18 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $14 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $19 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $14 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 19 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $34 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $31 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $32 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $32 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records