Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:37:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x67ec…cd5c crypto 623 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$16 (+0%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate90%560W / 62L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day62.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$78
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 412 -3.1% -12.4% 87% 10% -11.7%
≤30d 622 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 12% -9.8%
≤90d 622 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 12% -9.8%
all 622 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 12% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 12% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$7 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses560 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)622 / 623
History coverage10d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day62.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 622 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $13 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $12 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $12 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $12 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $12 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1372 history records