Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T16:17:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x67df…74de crypto 35 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$37 (+4%) realized +$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate44%15W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day71.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$73
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -8.6% -17.3% 44% 41% -16.9%
≤30d 34 -8.6% -17.3% 44% 41% -16.9%
≤90d 34 -8.6% -17.3% 44% 41% -16.9%
all 34 -8.6% -17.3% 44% 41% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 41% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 41% -24.8%
15% -32.5% 38% -32.1%
20% -39.1% 32% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 49% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$19 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses15 / 19
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $31 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$17 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $53 −$42 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $104 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$49 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 20 $31 +$32 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 20 $36 −$30 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $52 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$23 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 20 $36 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$7 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $20.00 · 87 history records