trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $245 | $243 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 34¢ | 32¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $75 | $75 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro | Sho Shimabukuro | 52¢ | 46¢ | $80 | $72 | −$8 (-10%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | No | 76¢ | 74¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 81¢ | 81¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Natus Vincere | 71¢ | 70¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz | Alexander Bublik | 55¢ | 56¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 65¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $301 | +$133 | +44% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $25 | +$4 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Jun 10 | $11 | +$51 | +480% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Jun 10 | $32 | −$26 | -83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Jun 10 | $21 | −$16 | -76% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -34.6% | -40.8% | 27% | 20% | -21.8% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -34.6% | -40.8% | 27% | 20% | -21.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -34.6% | -40.8% | 27% | 20% | -21.8% |
| all | 15 | -34.6% | -40.8% | 27% | 20% | -21.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -40.8% | 20% | -21.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -46.5% | 13% | -29.3% |
| 15% | -51.6% | 13% | -36.2% |
| 20% | -56.4% | 7% | -42.4% |