Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:01:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
67 0x67bf…f983 sports 150 markets active 1h ago coverage 20d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$15,717 (+18%) realized +$15,717 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +2% what you keep after slip
Net edge+2%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate47%71W / 79L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown6%max
Avg bet$589per market
Trades / day65.8pace
Fees−$1,205est.
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,174
7 days+$18,990
14 days+$22,979
30 days+$23,193
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 64% +$25,056
other 34% −$1,761
crypto 2% −$55
world 0% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +100.0% +80.9% 46% 40% +33.7%
≤30d 150 +37.8% +24.7% 47% 38% +17.8%
≤90d 150 +37.8% +24.7% 47% 38% +17.8%
all 150 +37.8% +24.7% 47% 38% +17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +24.7% 38% +17.8%
10% +12.8% 29% +6.6%
15% ← realistic here +1.9% 24% -3.7%
20% -8.1% 22% -13.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +30% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +38% · $-wt +30% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$670) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -17% → late +93% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$473 vs −$131 · ×3.6 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×3.24 per $1 lost it wins $3.24
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15,717
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses71 / 79
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$1,205
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 150
History coverage20d
Avg bet$589
Trades / day65.8
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 150 Trades
no open positions (46 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $412 +$2,999 +728%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $370 +$6,064 +1637%
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $500 −$68 -14%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $1,007 −$64 -6%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $1,012 +$353 +35%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $48 +$26 +55%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $228 −$223 -97%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $621 +$1,855 +299%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $3,288 −$440 -13%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $256 +$50 +20%
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $1,388 −$250 -18%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 16 $203 +$8 +4%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $508 +$555 +109%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $1,036 +$1,802 +174%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $98 −$95 -97%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $33 −$32 -97%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1,019 −$211 -21%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $498 −$124 -25%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $1,003 −$17 -2%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $53 +$1 +2%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $501 −$32 -6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $255 −$250 -98%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $504 +$1,005 +199%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $2,495 +$445 +18%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 15 $500 −$112 -22%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $1,256 −$127 -10%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $2,398 +$3,047 +127%
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai Jun 15 $502 +$36 +7%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $252 +$43 +17%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $52 −$50 -97%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -7%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $905 −$42 -5%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $508 +$481 +95%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $501 +$329 +66%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 14 $508 +$407 +80%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,693 −$278 -16%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $505 −$30 -6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $501 +$243 +48%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,006 +$64 +6%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $508 −$182 -36%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 +$739 +2936%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $256 +$364 +142%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $261 +$365 +140%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,005 +$169 +17%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 77¢ $125 54m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $50 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $15 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $25 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $98 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $54 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $160 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $98 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $5 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $30 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $80 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $2 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $38 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $80 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $25 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $100 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $100 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $30 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 80¢ $8 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $798 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $10 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $10 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $25 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $69 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $25 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $10 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $62 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $4 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $7 55m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 69¢ $30 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1373 history records