Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:32:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67be…6e09
sports · 569 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35,800 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35,795 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$36
Realized−$35,795
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses272 / 488
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$2,162
Open positions1
Markets (closed)760 / 569
History coverage37d
Avg bet$239
Trades / day88.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 760 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34,525
7 days−$34,446
14 days−$36,512
30 days−$33,620
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $40 $36 −$4 (-11%)
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Tallon Griekspoor 16¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 39¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 18¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 24¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 23¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5) Shelton 41¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Viktoria Morvayova Viktoria Morvayova 12¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 50¢ $349 $0 −$349 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 11¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao Lanlana Tararudee 72¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 60¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner Conviction 40¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverry Dino Prizmic 43¢ $706 $0 −$706 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 43¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
LoL: Conviction vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner Conviction 31¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 20¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 22¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 44¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 71¢ $568 $0 −$568 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 19¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 25¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 47¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 13 $156 −$156 -100%
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5) Jun 13 $152 −$149 -98%
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Viktoria Morvayova Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 13 $31 −$34 -110%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $142 −$153 -108%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $349 −$349 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 13 $706 −$706 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 13 $333 −$333 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $568 −$568 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $113 −$124 -109%
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherot Jun 13 $177 −$166 -94%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $309 −$309 -100%
Bulls vs. Jazz Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winne Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
First Blood in Game 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $135 −$135 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $153 −$165 -108%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $337 −$337 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $644 −$644 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $189 −$189 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 13 $186 −$186 -100%
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $426 −$426 -100%
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lu Jun 13 $1 −$5 -577%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Penguins vs. Capitals Jun 13 $299 −$299 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $192 −$192 -100%
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 13 $278 −$278 -100%
Thunder vs. Suns Jun 13 $173 −$173 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Jun 13 $126 −$126 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch Jun 13 $217 −$217 -100%
LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bulls vs. Heat Jun 13 $133 −$133 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$776
other 1% +$210
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $12 51m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $29 56m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 73¢ $86 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 73¢ $63 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 70¢ $7 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 73¢ $63 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 39¢ $1 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 39¢ $0 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 39¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 39¢ $9 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 39¢ $73 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 39¢ $23 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 59¢ $60 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 64¢ $128 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 47¢ $139 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $40 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $40 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $29 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $21 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $50 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 33¢ $101 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 33¢ $97 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 36¢ $37 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 38¢ $77 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 49¢ $122 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 52¢ $27 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 52¢ $27 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 52¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 -57.4% -61.4% 22% 17% -57.4%
≤30d 654 -22.2% -29.6% 36% 29% -30.2%
≤90d 760 -19.4% -27.1% 36% 30% -28.8%
all 760 -19.4% -27.1% 36% 30% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 30% -28.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 26% -35.6%
15% -40.4% 21% -41.9%
20% -46.3% 18% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.71 · official $35.71 (match) · 3500 history records