Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T13:54:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x67bb…3307 crypto 27 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$78 (+4%) realized +$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate78%21W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$77per market
Trades / day49.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +0.0% -9.5% 78% 41% -10.9%
≤30d 27 +0.0% -9.5% 78% 41% -10.9%
≤90d 27 +0.0% -9.5% 78% 41% -10.9%
all 27 +0.0% -9.5% 78% 41% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 41% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 26% -19.4%
15% -26.1% 19% -27.2%
20% -33.3% 7% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$49 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses21 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day49.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 27 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 28 $141 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 28 $70 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 28 $71 +$25 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $81 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $71 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 28 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 28 $258 −$74 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 28 $215 −$52 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 28 $81 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $82 +$35 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 28 $81 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 28 $82 +$30 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $80 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $81 +$24 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $80 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 28 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 28 $41 +$23 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 28 $60 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 28 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 28 $41 +$30 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 28 $41 +$19 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 28 $41 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$26 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $80 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $81 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $87 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $125 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $81 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $84 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $81 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $81 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $80 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 73 history records