Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x67a7…b997
weather · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 26¢ 25¢ $17 $17 −$1 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 14? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $8 $1 −$7 (-85%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-72%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.24 · official $25.24 (match) · 15 history records