Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:46:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x679c…afff crypto 262 markets active 7d ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1189 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$26,142 (-539%) realized −$26,142 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate32%85W / 178L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day1189.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$162
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1189 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-34.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -94.2% -94.8% 0% 0% -94.8%
≤30d 263 -27.6% -34.5% 32% 24% -13.0%
≤90d 263 -27.6% -34.5% 32% 24% -13.0%
all 263 -27.6% -34.5% 32% 24% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1189.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.5% 24% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -40.8% 20% -21.3%
15% -46.5% 14% -28.9%
20% -51.7% 10% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -53% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$4 · ×1.61 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$26,142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses85 / 178
Open positions0
Markets (closed)263 / 262
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1189.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 263 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $28 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET Jun 16 $39 −$12 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $43 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $205 −$40 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2AM ET Jun 15 $139 −$27 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$5 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET Jun 15 $38 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.23 · official $0.23 (match) · 3500 history records