Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:05:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6798…b03d crypto 204 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$127 (-7%) realized −$132 · open +$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate53%107W / 96L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day60.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$12now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% −$125
other 17% −$41
sports 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 -3.3% -12.5% 53% 52% -17.1%
≤30d 203 -3.3% -12.5% 53% 52% -17.1%
≤90d 203 -3.3% -12.5% 53% 52% -17.1%
all 203 -3.3% -12.5% 53% 52% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 52% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 48% -25.0%
15% -28.6% 45% -32.3%
20% -35.6% 40% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$9 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$12
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses107 / 96
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)203 / 204
History coverage7d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day60.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 203 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 38¢ 88¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+132%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 68 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -90%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +118%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +20%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +56%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +123%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +70%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -95%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $119 −$115 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $109 −$95 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$16 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $26 +$17 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $37 −$28 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $129 +$123 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $67 −$65 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $15 +$13 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $23 −$22 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$13 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $4 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 23m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 25m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 49m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.50 · official $8.81 · 465 history records