Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6796…453f
sports · 802 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,307 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,305 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2,305
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses322 / 503
Est. fees paid−$297
Open positions3
Markets (closed)825 / 802
History coverage35d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day98.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 825 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$891
7 days−$794
14 days−$1,013
30 days−$1,699
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Martin Landaluce 62¢ 60¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? Yes 42¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Team Falcons 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox No 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jil Teichmann 11¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 40¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 17¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 37¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Lightning Lightning 32¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 24¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 32¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $133 −$133 -100%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Jun 13 $13 −$3 -24%
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmoh Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-07? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Anhelina Kalinina Jun 13 $13 −$64 -473%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -27%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-01? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucc Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $18 +$19 +107%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $112 −$111 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $9 −$4 -42%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $3 −$1 -45%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $10 −$7 -74%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $2 −$1 -62%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -76%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $12 −$12 -94%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +71%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $4 +$5 +122%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $15 −$14 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$1,086
other 12% −$376
crypto 1% −$7
politics 0% +$6
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 64¢ $4 0m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 58¢ $2 3m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Michael Mmoh 8¢ $5 6m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Michael Mmoh 14¢ $0 8m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Michael Mmoh 7¢ $4 18m
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic SELL Katie Boulter 30¢ $1 18m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel SELL Diane Parry 62¢ $3 19m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Michael Mmoh 41¢ $2 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 58¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Michael Mmoh 57¢ $3 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 38¢ $2 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 59¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ $2 7h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 28¢ $2 7h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 53¢ $3 7h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 57¢ $3 7h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $2 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $3 7h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 13¢ $3 13h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 17¢ $1 13h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) SELL Washington Nationals 7¢ $1 13h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Toronto Tempo 2¢ $1 13h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 48¢ $7 13h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 9¢ $2 13h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) SELL Milwaukee Brewers 92¢ $5 13h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 98¢ $10 13h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 44¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -17.7% -25.5% 36% 32% -41.6%
≤30d 676 -12.8% -21.1% 41% 37% -25.5%
≤90d 825 -12.2% -20.5% 39% 35% -25.2%
all 825 -12.2% -20.5% 39% 35% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 35% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 31% -32.4%
15% -35.1% 24% -38.9%
20% -41.4% 17% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.49 · official $6.49 (match) · 3500 history records