Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:09:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6791…3e4f crypto 1096 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$52 (-1%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate61%669W / 427L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day65.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$20
14 days−$146
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -13.2% -21.5% 56% 53% -15.9%
≤30d 291 -13.0% -21.2% 57% 55% -13.4%
≤90d 1096 -10.3% -18.9% 61% 58% -11.2%
all 1096 -10.3% -18.9% 61% 58% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 58% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 1% -19.7%
15% -33.7% 1% -27.5%
20% -40.2% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses669 / 427
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1096 / 1096
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1096 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records