Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:42:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6777…8c30 crypto 167 markets active 4d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (822 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$5,116 (-50%) realized −$5,116 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -52% what you keep after slip
Net edge-52%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate25%61W / 183L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$62per market
Trades / day822.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (822 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-43.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -55.2% -59.5% 19% 3% -17.4%
≤30d 244 -37.9% -43.8% 25% 3% -14.8%
≤90d 244 -37.9% -43.8% 25% 3% -14.8%
all 244 -37.9% -43.8% 25% 3% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover822.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.8% 3% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -49.2% 0% -22.9%
15% -54.1% 0% -30.4%
20% -58.6% 0% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -38% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -68% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
20.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.25 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,116
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses61 / 183
Open positions0
Markets (closed)244 / 167
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$62
Trades / day822.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 244 Trades
no open positions (86 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records