trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +28.8% | +16.6% | 100% | 100% | +16.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 50% | 50% | -6.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 67% | 58% | -3.7% |
| all | 12 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 67% | 58% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -18.3% | 58% | -3.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -26.1% | 42% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -33.3% | 17% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 0% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66¢ | 81¢ | $29,573 | $36,431 | +$6,858 (+23%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $6,000 | $6,745 | +$745 (+12%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 15¢ | $3,400 | $5,573 | +$2,173 (+64%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $7,000 | $5,557 | −$1,443 (-21%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $4,000 | $3,550 | −$450 (-11%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $2,600 | $2,948 | +$348 (+13%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1,700 | $2,125 | +$425 (+25%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 5¢ | $3,200 | $2,030 | −$1,170 (-37%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $2,000 | $1,669 | −$331 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $19,971 | +$5,761 | +29% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10,051 | −$10,000 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $9,959 | +$4,326 | +43% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $52,593 | +$13,410 | +26% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 07 | $41,657 | −$8,998 | -22% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $6,110 | −$3,156 | -52% |
| Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral elec | May 08 | $51 | +$14 | +27% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | May 07 | $5,014 | +$732 | +15% |
| Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral ele | May 04 | $2,576 | −$2,547 | -99% |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 202 | May 03 | $1,122 | +$82 | +7% |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election | Apr 20 | $1,000 | +$164 | +16% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 13 | $17,950 | +$7,485 | +42% |