Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:20:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
67 0x6760…a560 crypto 50 markets active 1h ago coverage 500d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate82%40W / 9L
Drawdown5%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$60now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 60% +$2
other 15% $0
tech 10% +$1
politics 8% $0
sports 3% $0
economics 2% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 7 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 49 +0.3% -9.3% 82% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×2.42 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×10.74 per $1 lost it wins $10.74
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

500d coverage
Net worth$60
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses40 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)49 / 50
History coverage500d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 49 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana reach $100 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Jun 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 02 $61 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? May 04 $10 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April? May 04 $60 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? Apr 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March? Apr 01 $21 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March? Apr 01 $37 $0 +0%
Will BNB reach $1,000 in February? Mar 03 $26 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in February? Mar 03 $36 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $200 in January? Feb 02 $23 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 02 $42 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.60 in December? Jan 02 $12 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 02 $59 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? Dec 03 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum all time high by October 31? Nov 04 $20 $0 +2%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Nov 04 $47 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September? Oct 03 $13 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.00 in September? Oct 03 $15 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $100 in September? Oct 03 $38 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? Sep 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $130 in August? Sep 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August? Sep 02 $21 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $145 in August? Sep 02 $32 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July? Aug 03 $26 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? Aug 03 $41 $0 +1%
Ethereum all time high by June 30? Jul 02 $24 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June? Jul 02 $26 $0 +0%
XRP all time high in May? Jun 18 $7 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? Jun 18 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum all time high in May? Jun 18 $16 $0 +0%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May? May 02 $6 $0 +0%
Will ETH hard fork before May? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 20% on April 30? May 02 $10 $0 +2%
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30? May 02 $11 $0 +0%
Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May? May 02 $12 $0 +0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series? Apr 18 $19 $0 -0%
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalitio Apr 17 $13 $0 -0%
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary electio Apr 15 $16 $0 -0%
Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Saskatchewan in th Apr 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days? Apr 10 $28 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum hit $2,800.00 again by March 31? Apr 01 $13 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? Apr 01 $28 $0 +1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? Mar 17 $30 $0 -0%
Will Carlton Carrington win NBA Rookie of the Year? Mar 17 $20 $0 -0%
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the Mar 15 $37 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025? Mar 04 $14 $0 +0%
Will Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025? Mar 04 $17 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28? Mar 04 $26 +$1 +3%
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League? Feb 19 $19 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana reach $100 in June? BUY No 100¢ $60 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $9 30d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $61 30d
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? BUY No 100¢ $10 61d
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April? BUY No 100¢ $60 62d
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $10 91d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March? BUY No 100¢ $21 92d
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March? BUY No 100¢ $37 93d
Will BNB reach $1,000 in February? BUY No 100¢ $26 123d
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in February? BUY No 100¢ $36 123d
Will Solana reach $200 in January? BUY No 100¢ $23 150d
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? BUY No 100¢ $42 151d
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 100¢ $7 181d
Will XRP reach $3.60 in December? BUY No 100¢ $12 182d
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 100¢ $52 183d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? BUY No 100¢ $55 212d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 243d
Ethereum all time high by October 31? BUY No 98¢ $20 243d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 99¢ $37 243d
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September? BUY No 100¢ $13 273d
Will XRP reach $4.00 in September? BUY No 100¢ $15 274d
Will Solana dip to $100 in September? BUY No 100¢ $38 274d
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? BUY No 100¢ $5 302d
Will Solana dip to $130 in August? BUY No 100¢ $10 303d
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August? BUY No 100¢ $21 303d
Will Solana dip to $145 in August? BUY No 100¢ $32 303d
Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July? BUY No 100¢ $8 333d
Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July? BUY No 100¢ $18 334d
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? BUY No 99¢ $41 335d
Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June? BUY No 100¢ $26 363d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.66 · official $59.66 (match) · 107 history records