Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:35:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6751…4dfd crypto 222 markets active 6d ago coverage 65d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$41 (-4%) realized −$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate59%130W / 92L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day11.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$12
14 days−$24
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -5.9% -14.9% 62% 15% -17.3%
≤30d 201 -8.8% -17.5% 59% 21% -15.3%
≤90d 222 -9.0% -17.7% 59% 22% -15.6%
all 222 -9.0% -17.7% 59% 22% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 22% -15.6%
10% -25.5% 9% -23.7%
15% -32.7% 6% -31.0%
20% -39.3% 3% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses130 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)222 / 222
History coverage65d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 222 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -82%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -56%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 807 history records