Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6743…34d0
crypto · 412 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$3,054 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,054 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$3,054
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses184 / 527
Open positions0
Markets (closed)711 / 412
History coverage13d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day257.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 711 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,714
7 days−$3,605
14 days−$3,054
30 days−$3,054
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 10¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+878%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+133%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$8 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,398
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-34.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 631 -37.5% -43.4% 19% 19% -48.4%
≤30d 711 -27.2% -34.2% 26% 25% -39.6%
≤90d 711 -27.2% -34.2% 26% 25% -39.6%
all 711 -27.2% -34.2% 26% 25% -39.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover257.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.2% 25% -39.6%
10% ← realistic here -40.5% 24% -45.4%
15% -46.2% 23% -50.7%
20% -51.5% 20% -55.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.13 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records