trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 52% | 52% | -7.6% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 52% | 52% | -7.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 52% | 52% | -7.6% |
| all | 21 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 52% | 52% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 52% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 43% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 29% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 14% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Argentina to score first vs. Algeria? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+35%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+15%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 69¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran? | Yes | 74¢ | 57¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| France to score first vs. Senegal? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$2 | +226% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$2 | +179% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +16% |