Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:50:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6740…2812 crypto 1341 markets active 5d ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$391 (-5%) realized −$391 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%561W / 780L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day52.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$225
14 days−$428
30 days−$673
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$506
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 -11.0% -19.5% 60% 59% -17.7%
≤30d 426 -14.6% -22.7% 47% 47% -25.7%
≤90d 1341 -5.0% -14.0% 42% 42% -16.6%
all 1341 -5.0% -14.0% 42% 42% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 42% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 40% -24.6%
15% -29.8% 37% -31.8%
20% -36.7% 34% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$5 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$391
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses561 / 780
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1341 / 1341
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day52.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1341 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$6 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$18 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$9 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records