Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T07:56:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x673d…5234 crypto 111 markets active 4d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2634 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,779 (-19%) realized −$2,779 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate50%55W / 56L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$135per market
Trades / day2633.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$624
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2634 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 38% -13.3%
≤30d 111 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 38% -13.3%
≤90d 111 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 38% -13.3%
all 111 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 38% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2633.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 38% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 22% -21.6%
15% -31.0% 17% -29.2%
20% -37.8% 14% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
29.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$37 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,779
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses55 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$135
Trades / day2633.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 111 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$62 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $302 −$32 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $161 −$25 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $144 +$38 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $126 +$50 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $75 +$56 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 25 $312 −$117 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $123 +$26 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $166 −$16 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $124 +$9 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $187 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $421 +$33 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $235 −$102 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $324 +$25 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $101 −$82 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $81 −$45 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $605 +$16 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$11 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $505 −$30 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $93 +$67 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $277 +$41 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $382 −$139 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $62 −$62 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $183 +$26 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 25 $173 −$23 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $103 +$54 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $400 +$8 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$37 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $319 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 25 $412 −$17 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $94 +$37 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $316 +$31 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 25 $389 −$90 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 25 $340 −$53 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $298 −$99 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 25 $68 −$68 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $266 −$66 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $179 −$23 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $67 −$67 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 25 $150 +$33 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $342 −$19 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 25 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $4 +$4 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records