Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:12:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x673d…1376
crypto · 858 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$199 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$246 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$246
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses357 / 500
Open positions1
Markets (closed)857 / 858
History coverage57d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day46.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 857 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$20
14 days−$18
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET Up 25¢ 8¢ $5 $1 −$3 (-70%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$18 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$25 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $19 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 07 $13 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$222
other 1% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +0.3% -9.3% 53% 19% -13.3%
≤30d 75 -5.0% -14.0% 53% 21% -11.9%
≤90d 857 -5.0% -14.1% 42% 33% -13.8%
all 857 -5.0% -14.1% 42% 33% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 33% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 30% -22.0%
15% -29.8% 26% -29.6%
20% -36.7% 21% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.44 · official $1.44 (match) · 3500 history records