Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:19:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
67 0x673b…b22b crypto 582 markets active 6d ago coverage 120d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$6,025 (+1%) realized +$6,025 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%576W / 6L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$1,687per market
Trades / day18.2pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$19,904now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$225
14 days+$985
30 days+$1,478
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,788
other 0% +$75
finance 0% +$1
tech 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 120 +1.0% -8.6% 99% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 425 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 0% -9.0%
all 582 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 0% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.6%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$2,498) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$37 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×27.33 per $1 lost it wins $27.33
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

120d coverage
Net worth$19,904
Realized+$6,025
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses576 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)582 / 582
History coverage120d
Avg bet$1,687
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 582 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,381 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,257 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,361 +$42 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,993 +$7 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $249 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,445 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,991 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $609 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? Jun 11 $866 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $997 +$3 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,729 +$17 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,992 +$8 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,964 +$36 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,968 +$32 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,994 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 11 $5,565 +$36 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 9? Jun 10 $997 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $3,996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $6,244 +$10 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 8? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 09 $24 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $969 +$31 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $1,339 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? Jun 09 $1,748 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $2,126 +$19 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $4,518 +$61 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $6,482 +$18 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 7? Jun 08 $3 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 7? Jun 08 $104 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 08 $488 +$12 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 7? Jun 08 $1,659 +$16 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 08 $1,976 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $2,559 +$41 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $5,982 +$18 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $6,643 +$25 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 6? Jun 07 $86 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6? Jun 07 $197 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6? Jun 07 $293 +$7 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 6? Jun 07 $319 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 6? Jun 07 $621 +$10 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 6? Jun 07 $1,409 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6? Jun 07 $2,577 +$15 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $3,193 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $3,876 +$15 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5? Jun 06 $194 +$12 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? Jun 06 $292 +$19 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? Jun 06 $567 +$5 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $1,381 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $252 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $97 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $1,479 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $296 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $538 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,998 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $48 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,998 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $825 6d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $249 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $998 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $2,994 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,445 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,996 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $27 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $27 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,994 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $111 7d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $866 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $499 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $127 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $864 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $99 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $333 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $1,177 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19,903.69 · official $19,903.69 (match) · 2780 history records