Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:35:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x672d…97f1
sports · 244 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$300 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$296 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$296
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses86 / 145
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions9
Markets (closed)231 / 244
History coverage237d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 9 History 231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$127
7 days+$22
14 days−$63
30 days−$193
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5 Over 9¢ 6¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-30%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Yes 41¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Over 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 Over 21¢ 19¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-10%)
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 Over 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5 Over 5¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? Yes 38¢ 23¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $17 +$55 +318%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $25 +$26 +103%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 +$7 +46%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$7 +67%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $25 +$17 +68%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $25 +$15 +61%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 +$11 +126%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -7%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 +$4 +92%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $25 −$25 -100%
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -60%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 08 $1 $0 -46%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 08 $1 $0 -25%
Egypt leading at halftime? Jun 08 $1 $0 -31%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -7%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 08 $1 $0 -14%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $1 $0 -8%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -6%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -5%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $7 $0 -1%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $34 −$34 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will British Virgin Islands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $5 −$3 -50%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Algeria? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -100%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $48 −$48 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$316
other 7% +$26
politics 1% −$1
weather 0% −$3
tech 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
crypto 0% −$2
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 9¢ $5 23m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $5 25m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $5 26m
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 21¢ $5 27m
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 10¢ $5 28m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026 BUY 40¢ $1 30m
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND BUY 40¢ $2 33m
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 BUY Over 52¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 1h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 1h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 41¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND W BUY 100¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 22¢ $7 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 60¢ $10 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 33¢ $41 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 46¢ $35 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 58¢ $22 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 SELL Over 67¢ $17 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 72¢ $15 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $5 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 13h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $5 14h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 45¢ $5 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $5 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $10 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $10 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $10 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $10 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -1.9% -11.2% 35% 35% -3.5%
≤30d 141 -12.1% -20.4% 32% 30% -19.2%
≤90d 220 -10.2% -18.7% 36% 34% -18.4%
all 231 -10.0% -18.5% 37% 33% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 33% -18.2%
10% -26.3% 31% -26.1%
15% -33.4% 29% -33.2%
20% -40.0% 23% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.16 · official $39.53 · 573 history records