Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6723…c234
sports · 67 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$11 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses34 / 31
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)65 / 67
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$13
14 days+$25
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 37¢ 52¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+41%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 Gen.G Esports 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 Natus Vincere 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Alter Ego 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs LGD Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 FUT Esports 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Geek Fam ID 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs All Gamers 80¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 Leviatán Esports 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season EVOS 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Natus Vincere 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$5 +173%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $6 +$3 +57%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $4 −$3 -73%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winne Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $6 +$4 +65%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $4 +$1 +20%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $2 $0 +19%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $5 +$2 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$2 +67%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $2 −$1 -25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$1 +37%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $7 −$3 -46%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +36%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $2 −$1 -92%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5 +$7 +142%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MP Jun 07 $6 +$1 +16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 +$2 +160%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $3 +$1 +35%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $3 +$1 +36%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $5 $0 -3%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MPL Ma Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$3 +48%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Selangor Red Giants (BO5) Jun 05 $6 +$3 +45%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT (B Jun 04 $2 +$3 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +18%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Vamos (BO5) - MPL Ma Jun 04 $5 +$4 +82%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO5) - MPL M Jun 03 $9 +$4 +41%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $1 −$1 -61%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $14 +$9 +67%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Sta Jun 01 $11 +$3 +26%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA May 31 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $10 +$5 +50%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup May 31 $4 −$3 -76%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q May 31 $4 −$3 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qu May 30 $5 −$5 -99%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $4 +$1 +31%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Falcons PH (BO7) - MPL Phili May 30 $3 +$2 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$14
crypto 2% $0
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 73¢ $7 26m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 18¢ $1 28m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 24¢ $1 29m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $1 40m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $1 46m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 25¢ $1 47m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 10¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 25¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 27¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 49¢ $1 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) SELL Bigetron by Vitality 56¢ $1 5h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) BUY Bigetron by Vitality 59¢ $1 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $1 5h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind SELL ONIC 100¢ $5 18h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 70¢ $1 21h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind SELL Bigetron by Vitality 61¢ $4 22h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 30¢ $2 25h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 74¢ $3 25h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In SELL Team Liquid ID 6¢ $0 25h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winne SELL Geek Fam ID 0¢ $0 26h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Team Liquid ID 45¢ $1 26h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Team Liquid ID 36¢ $1 26h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winne BUY Geek Fam ID 52¢ $2 27h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In SELL Team Liquid ID 21¢ $1 27h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Team Liquid ID 50¢ $1 27h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Team Liquid ID 50¢ $1 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +1.9% -7.8% 53% 53% +2.2%
≤30d 65 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 51% -5.2%
≤90d 65 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 51% -5.2%
all 65 -2.3% -11.6% 52% 51% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 51% -5.2%
10% -20.1% 43% -14.3%
15% -27.8% 35% -22.6%
20% -34.9% 20% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.85 · official $9.85 (match) · 184 history records