Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T10:12:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6719…60f2 crypto 250 markets active 1h ago coverage 90d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$55 (+1%) realized +$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate30%75W / 175L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day4.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$166
14 days−$166
30 days−$312
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$410
sports 0% $0
other 0% −$7
politics 0% −$3
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-30.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -47.1% -52.1% 25% 23% -23.1%
≤30d 139 -34.2% -40.4% 28% 27% -24.2%
≤90d 249 -23.1% -30.5% 30% 29% -20.1%
all 250 -23.4% -30.7% 30% 28% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.7% 28% -20.2%
10% -37.4% 26% -27.8%
15% -43.4% 24% -34.8%
20% -49.0% 21% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -23% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -36% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$9 · ×1.72 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

90d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses75 / 175
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)250 / 250
History coverage90d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 250 Trades
no open positions (110 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +152%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$4 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$93 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $147 +$30 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $135 −$11 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $155 −$38 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $135 −$30 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$28 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$30 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$5 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 583 history records