Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:37:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6711…1485
crypto · 394 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$170 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$170 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses202 / 189
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)391 / 394
History coverage82d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 1 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$40
14 days−$39
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +51%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $12 +$17 +142%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 Jun 12 $17 −$4 -23%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 Jun 12 $17 +$14 +80%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $9 +$6 +67%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$4 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$5 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$4 +190%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $6 −$4 -64%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $9 +$6 +72%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $5 +$2 +48%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $5 $0 -6%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $13 −$6 -49%
France leading at halftime? Jun 08 $10 +$3 +31%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 3 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29? Jun 06 $29 −$16 -56%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5 May 30 $37 −$37 -100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky May 29 $25 −$1 -2%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 29 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 29 $10 +$6 +62%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $13 −$3 -20%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 May 29 $33 +$19 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 29 $3 +$3 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +48%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner May 29 $14 −$8 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% −$16
sports 18% −$114
crypto 14% −$4
world 2% +$304
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $15 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Aus BUY 20¢ $16 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 66¢ $10 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 41¢ $12 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov BUY 19¢ $15 33h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 SELL 34¢ $13 33h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 BUY 43¢ $17 33h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 BUY 63¢ $7 43h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 BUY 50¢ $10 43h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 55¢ $10 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $9 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 71¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 4d
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 19¢ $2 4d
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $6 4d
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $7 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +12.2% +1.5% 54% 54% +8.7%
≤30d 266 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 44% -12.7%
≤90d 391 -2.2% -11.5% 52% 50% -6.7%
all 391 -2.2% -11.5% 52% 50% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 50% -6.7%
10% -20.0% 44% -15.6%
15% -27.7% 35% -23.7%
20% -34.8% 25% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.88 · official $30.88 · 948 history records