Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:54:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x66ff…152f crypto 1285 markets active 11h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,737 (-18%) realized −$1,737 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate45%583W / 702L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day60.1pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$582
14 days−$752
30 days−$2,069
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$1,702
other 5% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 -19.3% -27.0% 46% 46% -26.2%
≤30d 988 -24.4% -31.6% 43% 42% -34.1%
≤90d 1285 -13.0% -21.3% 45% 45% -26.0%
all 1285 -13.0% -21.3% 45% 45% -26.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 45% -26.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 44% -33.1%
15% -35.7% 38% -39.5%
20% -42.0% 31% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,737
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses583 / 702
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1285 / 1285
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day60.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1285 Trades
no open positions (135 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$7 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$6 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records