trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parli | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | May 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | May 06 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: Both Teams to Score | Mar 22 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? | Mar 20 | $820 | −$5 | -1% |
| Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Mar 20 | $888 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Nottm Forest finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier | Mar 20 | $840 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March? | Mar 20 | $818 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or higher on March 23? | Mar 20 | $1,656 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the | Mar 20 | $760 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on Mar | Mar 20 | $791 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 20 | $829 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 23? | Mar 20 | $838 | +$3 | +0% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 2, 1AM ET | Mar 03 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET | Mar 01 | $9 | +$9 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 7PM ET | Mar 01 | $15 | +$15 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8PM ET | Feb 28 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Feb 28 | $14 | +$14 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 10PM ET | Feb 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 23, 10PM ET | Feb 25 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Feb 20 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8AM ET | Feb 15 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 46% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 22 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 23% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 23% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 23% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 23% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 23% | -33.9% |