Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:42:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x66f7…4d24 crypto 59 markets active 2h ago coverage 540d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$24 (-0%) realized −$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate72%42W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$87per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$57now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 74% −$8
crypto 13% +$1
other 6% $0
politics 4% $0
tech 1% $0
weather 1% $0
world 1% −$17
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 7 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 58 -1.7% -11.1% 72% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 0% -10.0%
10% -19.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -27.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -34.5% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.06 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

540d coverage
Net worth$57
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses42 / 16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)58 / 59
History coverage540d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 58 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $57 $57 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May? Jun 03 $14 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Jun 03 $39 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? May 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? May 05 $21 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? May 05 $34 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March? Apr 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will BNB reach $900 in March? Apr 02 $38 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? Mar 03 $17 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? Mar 03 $47 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $200 in January? Feb 02 $22 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January? Feb 02 $26 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 01 $13 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? Jan 01 $32 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? Dec 02 $43 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? Nov 04 $14 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Nov 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September? Oct 04 $17 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $270 in September? Oct 04 $31 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? Sep 02 $18 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $140 in August? Sep 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July? Aug 04 $8 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? Aug 04 $9 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July? Aug 04 $43 $0 +0%
Solana all time high by June 30? Jul 03 $26 $0 +0%
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? Jun 02 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in May? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? Jun 02 $11 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? Jun 02 $14 $0 +0%
U.S. recession before May 2025? May 01 $1 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? May 01 $1 $0 +0%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 3 May 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30? May 01 $9 $0 +0%
XRP all time high in April? May 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? May 01 $13 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May? May 01 $14 $0 +0%
Will Jaxson Dart be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? Apr 21 $50 $0 -0%
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary electio Apr 18 $141 $0 -0%
Will Kirill Kaprizov win the Hart Trophy? Apr 17 $70 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series? Apr 13 $63 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $100 by March? Apr 01 $7 $0 +2%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? Apr 01 $14 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? Apr 01 $18 $0 +0%
Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian elec Mar 25 $29 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025? Mar 20 $43 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 14 $3,686 −$7 -0%
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025? Mar 05 $42 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? Mar 03 $8 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Mar 03 $19 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? Feb 19 $22 $0 +0%
Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1? Feb 19 $22 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $57 1h
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May? BUY No 100¢ $14 30d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $39 31d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $5 62d
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? BUY No 100¢ $21 63d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? BUY No 100¢ $34 63d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March? BUY No 100¢ $14 92d
Will BNB reach $900 in March? BUY No 100¢ $38 92d
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? BUY No 100¢ $3 122d
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? BUY No 100¢ $14 123d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? BUY No 100¢ $47 123d
Will Solana reach $200 in January? BUY No 100¢ $22 150d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January? BUY No 100¢ $26 151d
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 100¢ $13 182d
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? BUY No 100¢ $32 183d
Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? BUY No 100¢ $43 212d
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? BUY No 100¢ $14 241d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 242d
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September? BUY No 100¢ $17 273d
Will Solana reach $270 in September? BUY No 100¢ $31 273d
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? BUY No 100¢ $18 301d
Will Solana dip to $140 in August? BUY No 100¢ $30 302d
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July? BUY No 100¢ $8 332d
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? BUY No 100¢ $9 333d
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July? BUY No 100¢ $43 334d
Solana all time high by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $26 364d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? BUY No 100¢ $14 393d
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in May? BUY No 100¢ $5 394d
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? BUY No 100¢ $11 394d
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? BUY No 100¢ $13 423d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.86 · official $56.86 (match) · 123 history records