Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66ea…6791
sports · 674 markets active 4h ago
1.0score
−$8,245 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,784 · open +$539
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,340
Realized−$8,784
Unrealized+$539
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses335 / 329
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$3,151
Open positions10
Markets (closed)664 / 674
History coverage66d
Avg bet$433
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 10 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,025
7 days+$2,125
14 days+$10,473
30 days−$8,886
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? Under 49¢ 100¢ $500 $1,007 +$507 (+101%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 68¢ 66¢ $782 $770 −$12 (-2%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 68¢ 64¢ $597 $566 −$31 (-5%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 81¢ 78¢ $246 $237 −$9 (-4%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ 68¢ $244 $235 −$9 (-4%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Under 51¢ 98¢ $101 $193 +$92 (+91%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) XLG Gaming 43¢ 46¢ $125 $132 +$7 (+6%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Haiti 41¢ 43¢ $104 $109 +$5 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Virtus.pro 49¢ 50¢ $61 $61 +$0 (+1%)
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Paris Gentle Mates 80¢ 55¢ $41 $28 −$13 (-31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $2,029 +$2,461 +121%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $287 +$279 +97%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $238 +$6 +3%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $653 −$10 -2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $28 −$4 -13%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $542 −$542 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $791 −$791 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $243 +$101 +42%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $186 +$166 +90%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $229 +$125 +55%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $222 +$127 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $897 +$1,353 +151%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,132 −$1,132 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,441 +$530 +37%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,585 +$2,168 +84%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$7 +129%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $99 +$288 +290%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 11 $741 −$741 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $241 +$507 +211%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $287 +$57 +20%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $933 +$1,066 +114%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $1,052 +$223 +21%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $288 +$88 +31%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $232 −$72 -31%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5) Jun 10 $74 −$74 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $596 −$596 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $629 −$629 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $631 +$271 +43%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $87 −$87 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $294 +$264 +90%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 +17%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $592 −$592 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,142 −$1,142 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $554 +$631 +114%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,959 +$1,619 +83%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $1,940 −$1,940 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1,271 −$1,271 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 08 $240 +$120 +50%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $1,439 +$931 +65%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Jun 07 $631 −$631 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2,832 +$2,927 +103%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $890 +$407 +46%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$9,485
other 16% +$1,239
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 81¢ $124 3h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ $123 3h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ $123 3h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 66¢ $62 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 66¢ $122 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $122 4h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 82¢ $124 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $244 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $244 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $239 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $239 4h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $119 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 3.5 Corners SELL Over 41¢ $25 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 46¢ $28 4h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 48¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 49¢ $60 5h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $122 6h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $122 6h
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Du BUY Paris Gentle Mates 80¢ $41 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 51¢ $102 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 61¢ $101 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 49¢ $102 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 48¢ $102 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 47¢ $102 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 46¢ $102 7h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 48¢ $117 7h
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 50¢ $287 8h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 47¢ $305 8h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $122 8h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $287 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -6.2% -15.2% 50% 48% -5.0%
≤30d 350 -7.8% -16.6% 48% 47% -14.3%
≤90d 664 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 48% -12.3%
all 664 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 48% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 48% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 45% -20.7%
15% -27.1% 40% -28.3%
20% -34.2% 34% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,339.71 · official $3,339.71 (match) · 2310 history records