Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:17:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66cb…3dd2
crypto · 809 markets active 3d ago
2.0score
+$16,558 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,556 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized+$16,556
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses182 / 626
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)808 / 809
History coverage68d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day38.8
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 808 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$1,576
14 days+$4,988
30 days+$5,994
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? No 97¢ 99¢ $65 $66 +$2 (+2%)
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week? No 4¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will "The Witness" be the top US Netflix show this week? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 09 $281 +$26 +9%
Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 09 $32 +$1 +2%
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 09 $992 +$1,393 +140%
Will "Ladies First" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Jun 09 $36 +$6 +17%
Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie thi Jun 09 $272 +$128 +47%
Will "Ladies First" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Jun 09 $133 +$12 +9%
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Jun 09 $38 +$4 +11%
Will "The Witness" be the top global Netflix show this week? Jun 09 $76 +$4 +5%
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show thi Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 09 $553 +$35 +6%
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we Jun 08 $27 −$27 -100%
Will "The Witness" be the top US Netflix show this week? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $27 −$25 -95%
Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $12 −$11 -94%
Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $5 −$4 -91%
Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $54 −$48 -89%
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $4 −$4 -95%
Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $307 −$221 -72%
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this Jun 03 $30 −$29 -96%
Will "Ladies First" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $24 −$23 -98%
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $117 −$115 -98%
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week Jun 03 $57 −$11 -18%
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $119 −$92 -77%
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this Jun 03 $339 −$139 -41%
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this we Jun 03 $78 −$78 -100%
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this we Jun 03 $4,820 −$803 -17%
Will "GOAT" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $76 −$75 -98%
Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $47 −$47 -99%
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $446 −$384 -86%
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $199 −$191 -96%
Will "Ladies First" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $186 −$186 -100%
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 US Netflix show this week Jun 03 $771 −$771 -100%
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 03 $603 −$538 -89%
Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $187 −$184 -98%
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 02 $124 +$87 +71%
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? Jun 02 $6,822 +$815 +12%
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 02 $301 +$591 +196%
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 02 $1,863 +$5,933 +318%
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? Jun 02 $227 +$201 +89%
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week Jun 01 $380 −$136 -36%
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 01 $521 −$105 -20%
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this w May 31 $17 +$1 +4%
Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? May 31 $19 $0 +0%
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week? May 31 $91 +$7 +7%
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? May 27 $11 +$2 +22%
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? May 27 $91 +$1 +1%
Will "Wanda Sykes: Legacy" be the top US Netflix show this week? May 27 $29 $0 +1%
Will "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" be the top US Netflix movie this w May 27 $20 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% +$15,195
culture 39% +$2,104
crypto 4% −$21
sports 2% −$717
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? BUY No 97¢ $32 2d
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? BUY No 97¢ $32 2d
Will "The Witness" be the top global Netflix show this week? BUY No 95¢ $76 2d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show thi BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3d
Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY No 94¢ $30 3d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 95¢ $190 3d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 93¢ $44 3d
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 94¢ $8 3d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 87¢ $86 4d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we BUY No 2¢ $4 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 82¢ $164 4d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we BUY No 2¢ $1 4d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we BUY No 2¢ $1 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 79¢ $158 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 76¢ $0 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 73¢ $26 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 4d
Will "The Witness" be the top US Netflix show this week? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4d
Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie thi BUY No 90¢ $180 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 79¢ $40 4d
Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 80¢ $160 4d
Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 4d
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 88¢ $5 4d
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 4d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we BUY No 4¢ $5 4d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we BUY No 4¢ $0 4d
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this we BUY No 4¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-58.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +4.5% -5.4% 83% 33% +48.7%
≤30d 100 -7.4% -16.2% 71% 29% +6.5%
≤90d 808 -54.2% -58.5% 23% 15% +15.6%
all 808 -54.2% -58.5% 23% 15% +15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.5% 15% +15.6%
10% ← realistic here -62.5% 9% +4.6%
15% -66.1% 8% -5.5%
20% -69.5% 6% -14.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.25 · official $66.25 (match) · 3500 history records