Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:34:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66ba…6b3c
crypto · 634 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$150 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$34
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses388 / 245
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)633 / 634
History coverage38d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day34.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 633 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$147
7 days−$25
14 days−$30
30 days−$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $30 $64 +$34 (+113%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Anhelina Kalinina 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $15 −$1 -6%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $54 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $81 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$19 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +82%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $25 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% +$32
sports 15% −$124
other 7% −$58
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 20¢ $14 10h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 19¢ $5 10h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 21¢ $10 10h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 58¢ $54 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -5.3% -14.3% 63% 50% -10.0%
≤30d 613 -5.0% -14.1% 62% 49% -11.6%
≤90d 633 -4.4% -13.5% 61% 49% -11.5%
all 633 -4.4% -13.5% 61% 49% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 49% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 37% -20.0%
15% -29.4% 28% -27.7%
20% -36.3% 21% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.80 · official $63.80 (match) · 1788 history records