trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 0% | 0% | -15.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 12% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 50% | 14% | +33.4% |
| all | 22 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 50% | 23% | +18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 23% | +18.6% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 23% | +7.2% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 23% | -3.1% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 23% | -12.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$1 | -21% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Jun 15 | $13 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 21 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| MegaETH FDV above $600M one day after launch? | May 05 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Apr 04 | $216 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $198 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 23 | $62 | +$38 | +61% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 23 | $294 | +$389 | +133% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Devils | Mar 09 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 20 to | Mar 02 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 24 | $145 | +$1 | +1% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Feb 06 | $19 | +$20 | +104% |
| Magic vs. Thunder | Feb 05 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Kings | Jan 10 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Lakers | Jan 03 | $22 | +$17 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18? | Dec 21 | $31 | +$32 | +104% |