trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 42% | 42% | -10.8% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 46% | 46% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 35% | 35% | -5.5% |
| all | 42 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 62% | 55% | +5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.5% | 55% | +5.1% |
| 10% | -4.6% | 48% | -5.0% |
| 15% | -13.8% | 40% | -14.2% |
| 20% | -22.3% | 29% | -22.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $150 | $148 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $60 | $61 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | 38¢ | 0¢ | $300 | $0 | −$300 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1,310 | −$9 | -1% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $603 | −$534 | -89% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $153 | −$113 | -74% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $296 | +$51 | +17% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $572 | +$507 | +89% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $927 | −$208 | -22% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $759 | +$356 | +47% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$13 | +25% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $153 | +$253 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $102 | +$121 | +119% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Apr 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Knicks | Apr 15 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Apr 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Magic | Apr 15 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Apr 15 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Apr 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 15 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $150 | +$365 | +243% |
| 76ers vs. Heat | Apr 01 | $125 | +$385 | +308% |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Mar 15 | $200 | +$204 | +102% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $15 | −$5 | -36% |
| Nuggets vs. Warriors | Feb 22 | $150 | +$141 | +94% |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder | Feb 22 | $100 | +$112 | +112% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 22 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 22 | $10 | +$3 | +31% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 22 | $7 | +$3 | +40% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 22 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans | Feb 22 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Feb 04 | $60 | +$39 | +65% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Jan 31 | $133 | +$43 | +33% |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Jan 30 | $106 | +$113 | +106% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Wizards | Jan 28 | $117 | +$58 | +50% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $98 | +$11 | +11% |
| Raptors vs. Thunder | Jan 26 | $18 | +$8 | +45% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $114 | +$64 | +56% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25? | Jan 25 | $55 | +$103 | +188% |
| Rockets vs. Pistons | Jan 24 | $100 | +$40 | +40% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Jan 23 | $49 | +$3 | +6% |