Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:07:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66b1…340f
sports · 237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51,159 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49,287 · open −$2,009
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,642
Realized−$49,287
Unrealized−$2,009
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses132 / 521
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$3,398
Open positions13
Markets (closed)653 / 237
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1,208
Trades / day342.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 13 History 653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49,544
7 days−$55,440
14 days−$49,287
30 days−$49,287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 70¢ 100¢ $2,246 $3,184 +$938 (+42%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 35¢ 100¢ $694 $1,989 +$1,295 (+187%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 72¢ 69¢ $1,870 $1,802 −$68 (-4%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 36¢ 82¢ $711 $1,638 +$927 (+130%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 24¢ 26¢ $240 $265 +$25 (+10%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 55¢ $139 $185 +$46 (+33%)
Will Astralis make a roster change before July? Yes 36¢ 55¢ $91 $137 +$46 (+50%)
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 No 49¢ 50¢ $98 $99 +$1 (+1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 35¢ 82¢ $35 $82 +$47 (+134%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 34¢ 0¢ $4,362 $65 −$4,297 (-99%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $46 $46 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 76¢ 77¢ $46 $46 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 31¢ 46¢ $31 $46 +$14 (+47%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 42¢ $41 $42 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 22¢ 23¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+5%)
Halle Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev Tomas Etcheverry 24¢ 26¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 22¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Bucks 56¢ 0¢ $167 $0 −$167 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 33 vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs EYEBALLERS 59¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 24¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Sebastian Ofner 10¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner SemperFi Esports 22¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $494 $0 −$494 (-100%)
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo Aidan Mayo 38¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In paiN 27¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Jun 13 $167 −$334 -200%
Counter-Strike: 33 vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Jun 13 $74 −$147 -200%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 13 $49 −$98 -200%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 13 $116 −$232 -200%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $66 −$132 -200%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $494 −$494 -100%
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo Jun 13 $39 −$79 -202%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 13 $81 −$162 -200%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajda Jun 13 $99 −$198 -200%
Naples: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Antalya 3: Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterine Gorgodze Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Spread: Clippers (-4.5) Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Jun 13 $306 −$306 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $145 −$290 -200%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Anastasia Zakha Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevic Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 13 $370 −$370 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5) Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-10.5) Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Carabelli Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Niko Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Karen Khachanov Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fer Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$8,670
other 4% +$2,638
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Aoi Ito 24¢ $240 14m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $32 40m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 22¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 22¢ $0 1h
Will Astralis make a roster change before July? BUY Yes 36¢ $93 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $69 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $32 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $116 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $108 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $111 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $76 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $477 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $251 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $160 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 22¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $461 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 22¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 21¢ $210 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $46 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $139 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 73¢ $184 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 73¢ $436 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 73¢ $42 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 73¢ $69 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-68.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 636 -68.2% -71.3% 19% 8% -25.8%
≤30d 653 -65.5% -68.7% 20% 10% -23.3%
≤90d 653 -65.5% -68.7% 20% 10% -23.3%
all 653 -65.5% -68.7% 20% 10% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover342.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -68.7% 10% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -71.7% 8% -30.6%
15% -74.5% 8% -37.3%
20% -77.0% 7% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,642.25 · official $9,642.72 (match) · 3500 history records