Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T20:24:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x66af…7af1 crypto 49 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$91 (-5%) realized −$91 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate73%36W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day67.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 33% -12.5%
≤30d 49 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 33% -12.5%
≤90d 49 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 33% -12.5%
all 49 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 33% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 33% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 20% -20.9%
15% -28.3% 10% -28.5%
20% -35.4% 10% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$25 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses36 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day67.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 21 $53 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 21 $52 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $47 +$16 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $46 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $34 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 21 $63 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 21 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 21 $70 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 21 $58 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $42 +$6 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 21 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 21 $55 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $53 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $51 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 21 $55 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $12 +$29 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $40 +$26 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 21 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 21 $3 +$4 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 21 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 21 $52 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 21 $45 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 21 $47 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 21 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 21 $0 +$1 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $33 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 21 $59 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $46 +$8 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $55 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $56 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $56 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 20 $49 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $41 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $14 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $18 +$45 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $24 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $53 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $52 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $47 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $46 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $34 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $70 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $58 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $28 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $45 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $51 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 124 history records