Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66aa…5bb7
crypto · 1732 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$994 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$994 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$994
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses933 / 998
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1931 / 1732
History coverage38d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day74.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$872
7 days−$838
14 days−$744
30 days−$873
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$97
world 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 432 -75.8% -78.1% 20% 8% -49.8%
≤30d 1464 -23.2% -30.5% 47% 40% -28.1%
≤90d 1931 -19.5% -27.2% 48% 40% -24.8%
all 1931 -19.5% -27.2% 48% 40% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.2% 40% -24.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.2% 33% -32.0%
15% -40.5% 26% -38.6%
20% -46.4% 19% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records