Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:21:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66a5…e4f4
crypto · 1531 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,487 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,487 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,487
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1135 / 396
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1531 / 1531
History coverage44d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1531 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$235
7 days−$407
14 days−$788
30 days−$1,158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,402
other 2% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -9.4% -18.0% 74% 69% -17.5%
≤30d 1099 -5.2% -14.2% 78% 67% -15.7%
≤90d 1531 -5.3% -14.3% 74% 65% -15.8%
all 1531 -5.3% -14.3% 74% 65% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 65% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 34% -23.9%
15% -30.0% 14% -31.2%
20% -36.9% 8% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records